Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000705 0.000800 0.000900 0.001014 0.001138 0.001271 0.001422
2025-10-19 0.000551 0.000682 0.000829 0.001006 0.001213 0.001445 0.001724
2025-10-26 0.000462 0.000607 0.000779 0.000994 0.001254 0.001556 0.001932
2025-11-02 0.000405 0.000561 0.000753 0.001002 0.001313 0.001686 0.002160
2025-11-09 0.000357 0.000520 0.000726 0.001002 0.001358 0.001793 0.002361
2025-11-16 0.000306 0.000467 0.000678 0.000971 0.001357 0.001842 0.002487
2025-11-23 0.000265 0.000424 0.000640 0.000947 0.001362 0.001894 0.002616
2025-11-30 0.000238 0.000396 0.000618 0.000942 0.001391 0.001976 0.002783
2025-12-07 0.000215 0.000373 0.000601 0.000941 0.001422 0.002060 0.002954
2025-12-14 0.000192 0.000347 0.000578 0.000930 0.001438 0.002123 0.003097
2025-12-21 0.000171 0.000322 0.000553 0.000915 0.001446 0.002175 0.003225
2025-12-28 0.000162 0.000316 0.000557 0.000941 0.001514 0.002309 0.003467
2026-01-04 0.000152 0.000306 0.000554 0.000957 0.001568 0.002427 0.003691
2026-01-11 0.000137 0.000288 0.000536 0.000949 0.001585 0.002494 0.003846
2026-01-18 0.000123 0.000269 0.000517 0.000937 0.001596 0.002550 0.003987
2026-01-25 0.000114 0.000259 0.000511 0.000945 0.001637 0.002650 0.004190
2026-02-01 0.000105 0.000247 0.000500 0.000946 0.001665 0.002731 0.004369
2026-02-08 0.000091 0.000226 0.000472 0.000916 0.001645 0.002740 0.004442
2026-02-15 0.000081 0.000209 0.000450 0.000893 0.001633 0.002761 0.004533
2026-02-22 0.000074 0.000198 0.000438 0.000888 0.001652 0.002827 0.004690
2026-03-01 0.000068 0.000189 0.000429 0.000887 0.001675 0.002901 0.004860
2026-03-08 0.000061 0.000178 0.000415 0.000877 0.001682 0.002948 0.004992
2026-03-15 0.000055 0.000166 0.000400 0.000862 0.001681 0.002984 0.005105